(有片)CNN:UFO射中導彈

UFO shoots at missile [CNN]

(有片)揭露穀類早餐的驚人真相-鐵質過量

Iron Rich Foods to Avoid Iron Overload

Nov 6, 2010 | By Tina Andrews
Iron Rich Foods to Avoid Iron Overload Photo Credit Alexandra Grablewski/Lifesize/Getty Images

Iron overload disease, also known as hemochromatosis, is a disorder in which your body absorbs too much iron from your diet. Because the human body has no mechanism to excrete excess iron, the mineral accumulates in your liver and other body organs, potentially causing irreversible damage. Although rigid dietary restrictions typically are not recommended for patients with iron overload disease, discuss your consumption of iron-rich foods and your overall nutrition plan with your doctor.

Iron-Fortified Cereals

A single serving of certain iron-fortified cereals contains more than twice the recommended daily allowance of iron for men and post-menopausal women, according to the USDA National Nutrient Database. Although calcium in the milk poured on cereal reduces intestinal iron absorption, your doctor may recommend that you eat non-iron-fortified cereals.

Poultry giblets, which include the liver, kidneys and gizzard, contain a high concentration of iron. One cup of turkey or chicken giblets contains approximately 10 to 11 mg of iron, according to the USDA National Nutrient Database. However, if you chop cooked giblets and add them to gravy, dressing or soup, the amount of iron per serving drops substantially.
Liver

Your doctor may recommend that you limit your intake of beef liver if you have iron overload disease. A 3-oz. serving of beef liver contains more than 5 mg of iron, reports the USDA National Nutrient Database. Drinking alcohol along with a meal that contains liver or another high-iron food increases the absorption of the mineral from your small bowel, reports the Iron Disorders Institute. Alcohol consumption may also increase the level of liver damage associated with iron overload disease and should be avoided, especially if you have cirrhosis, advises the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute.
Beef

Beef and other red meats contain heme-iron, which is more readily absorbed from your intestine than plant-derived iron. Many doctors recommend limiting or avoiding red meat if you have iron overload disease. A 3-oz. serving of beef, such as blade roast, bottom round or ribs, contains approximately 2 to 3 mg of iron, according to the USDA National Nutrient Database. A 3-oz. serving of ground beef contains roughly 2 mg of iron.
Venison

Venison contains a high concentration of heme-iron, with more than 4 mg per 3-oz. serving, according to the USDA. Your doctor may recommend you limit your intake or avoid eating venison if you have an iron overload disorder. Small amounts of venison in stews or soups may be permitted.
http://www.livestrong.com/article/298377-iron-rich-foods-to-avoid-iron-overload/

銀行家統治世界：“全球企業控制網絡”

2011年12月17日 0:20:32

by Stephen Lendman

Global Research, December 16, 2011

Bankers rule the world. A new Swiss Federal Institute of Technology study says so. Written by Stefania Vitali, James Glattfelder and Stefano Battiston, it's titled "The network of global corporate control," saying:

"We find that transnational corporations from a giant bow-tie structure and that a large portion of control flows to a small tightly-knit core of financial institutions. This core can be seen as an economic 'super-entity' that raises new important issues both for researches and policy makers."

The study says 147 powerful companies control an inordinate amount of economic activity - about 40%. Among the top 50, 45 are financial firms. They include Barclays PLC (called most influential), JPMorgan Chase, UBS, and other familiar and less known names.

Twenty-four companies are US-based, followed by eight in Britain, five in France, four in Japan, and Germany, Switzerland, and the Netherlands with two each. Canada has one.

Moreover, "top ranked" companies "hold a control ten times bigger than what could be expected based on their wealth."

As a result, they have enormous influence over political, financial, and economic activity.

In his book titled, "When Corporations Rule the World," David Korten said they're able to transfer enormous amounts of power, wealth and resources from public to private hands with government complicity. Money power and concentrated wealth in few hands especially harm humanity.

"These forces have transformed" financial institutions and other corporate predators "into instruments of a market tyranny that is extending its reach across the planet like a cancer, colonizing ever more of the planet's living spaces, destroying livelihoods, displacing people, rendering democratic institutions impotent, and feeding on life in an insatiable quest for money" and profits as a be and end all.

Only bottom line priorities and market dominance matter, not human welfare, environmental sanity, peace, equity and justice.

Transnational giants are the dominant institution of our time - especially financial ones with money power control of everything.

They decide who governs and how, who serves on courts, what laws are enacted, and whether or not wars are waged. Corporate dominance, especially financial power, and democratic values are incompatible.

They operate ruthlessly as private tyrannies. They're predators. We're prey, and every day we're eaten alive. They do it because they can, and in America by mandate.

Publicly owned US corporations, including financial ones, must serve shareholders by maximizing equity value through higher profits. They do it by exploiting nations, people and resources ruthlessly.

Social responsibility doesn't matter. Neither does being worker-friendly, a good citizen, or friend of the earth. Bottom line priorities alone matter. Failure to pursue fiduciary responsibilities means possible dismissal or shareholder lawsuits.

Yet nothing in America's Constitution or statute laws endow corporations with their rights. They usurped them by co-opting Washington, the nation's courts, state capitals, and city halls.

As a result, over half the world's largest economies are corporations. Financial ones controlling the power of money are most dominant.

Corporate personhood enhanced their power, yet imagine. Although corporations aren't human, they can live forever, change their identity, reside in many places globally, can't be imprisoned for wrongdoing, and can transform themselves into new entities for any reason.

They have the same rights and protections as people without the responsibilities. As a result, they operate freely unrestrained, especially financial giants controlling the power of money at the public's expense.

Beginning in the late 1960s, financialization grew more dominant. Economic control began shifting from industry to finance. Corporations are now seen as bundles of assets, the more liquid the better. A new monopoly finance capitalism developed to exploit it.

FIRE sector (finance, insurance, and real estate) predators capitalized. Casino capitalism gained prominence. Today it thrives. Major players took advantage, profiting hugely from speculation, chicanery and fraud.

A burgeoning financial superstructure gained a life of its own. Today it's omnipotent, especially in America and Europe. Their business model involves grabbing everything that smells money, no matter what harm is caused.

Money doesn't buy everything, but it buys enough influence to matter. The smartest guys in the room take advantage, buying politicians like toothpaste. Democracy's just a figure of speech.

Only wealth and power matter. Enough of them turned financial giants into monsters. Whatever they want, they get, including the right to operate freely outside the law, manipulate markets, bilk investors, strip-mine nations and people for profit, and get bailed out at public expense if overreach.

Under Obama and European leaders, the worst of bad practices flourish. Foxes guard the henhouse. Inmates run the asylum. Regulators don't regulate. Investigations aren't conducted. High-level criminal fraud gets wink and nod approval. Nothing is done to curb it.

Nor do public considerations matter nor is sustained low inflation long-term growth pursued as long as bankers get paid. Today, it's issue one in America and troubled Eurozone countries.

Wall Street dominance matters most in America. In Europe, "Troika" power is omnipotent - the IMF, EU and European Central Bank (ECB). Nations trapped under euro straightjacket rules can't devalue their currencies to be more competitive, monetize debt freely, or legislate fiscal policies to stimulate growth.

Instead, they're entrapped by banker diktats demanding tribute. In other words, financial coup d'etat authority runs sovereign governments. They occupy them rapaciously, making rules, setting terms, issuing demands, and pressuring, bribing or otherwise forcing political leaders to acquiesce. If not, they're replaced.

Working households bear the burden through layoffs, wage and benefit cuts, higher taxes, and other austerity measures to assure bankers are paid.

According to Michael Hudson, the system:

"shift(s) planning power into the hands of high finance on the claim that this is more efficient than public regulation. Government planning and taxation is accused of being 'the road to serfdom,' as if 'free markets' controlled by bankers given leeway to act recklessly is not planned by special interests in ways that are oligarchic, not democratic."

"Governments are told to pay bailout debts taken on not to defend countries in military warfare as in times past, but to benefit the wealthiest layer of the population by shifting its losses onto taxpayers."

As a result, social inequality proliferates. A new Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) report discusses the damage over the last three decades among its 34 member states. They include America, Japan, Western Europe, and others.

Titled "Divided We Stand: Why Inequality Keeps Rising," it discusses conditions from the early 1980s until the 2008 global economic crisis. Its impact alone left 200 million workers unemployed compounded by more imposed austerity.

Among OECD countries, the top 10% is nine times better off than the bottom 10%. America, Israel and Turkey are the most unequal industrialized nations at 14 to 1. In Britain, Japan, Italy, and South Korea, the gap is 10 to 1.

Rising inequality also affected "traditionally egalitarian countries" like Germany, Denmark, and Sweden. They went from 5 to 1 in the 1980s to 6 to 1 today. Mexico and Chile are worst off with gaps of 25 to one.

In America, the top 1% controls 20% of all income plus a far greater percent of total assets. Concentrated wealth extremes also affect European countries, following America's pattern.

The report says income inequality "first started to increase in the late 1970s and early 1980s in some English-speaking countries, notably the United Kingdom and the United States, but also in Israel."

Since the late 1980s, it's grown more widespread. At the same time, labor rights were sacrificed to benefit corporate bottom line priorities. In addition, finance capital grew omnipotent. As a result, money power rules everything.

Imposed austerity greatly impacted working households in troubled Eurozone countries and others facing economic hard times. Greece has been especially hammered by repeated layoffs, wage and benefit cuts, as well as higher taxes.

In early December, unelected Prime Minister Lucas Papademos (a former Bank of Greece governor and ECB vice president) force-fed through parliament more austerity cuts. Receiving an eight billion euro loan was conditional on doing so.

As a result, imposed measures include another five billion euros in spending cuts, 3.6 billion in new taxes, pensions cut 15%, and wages slashed more than already. In addition, more ahead is planned.

Papademos said "(t)he financial crisis in our country is not a passing storm....It will take many years" of greater worker sacrifices to assure bankers are paid.

In fact, the more wage, benefit, pension, and other cuts ordinary people bear, the weaker Greece's economy becomes from lost purchasing power with a working population heading toward serfdom in a nation no longer fit to live in.

Millions of Greeks are now impoverished. Unemployment approaches 20%. For youths between 15 and 24, it's nearly 50%. Years more imposed pain is planned to assure bankers are paid. As a result, expect Greece sooner or later to explode.

In addition, the more debt Greece assumes, the less it's able to service it, and faster it heads toward debt peonage. According to Michael Hudson, moreover, "(a) basic mathematical as well as political principle" explains that "(d)ebts that can't be paid, won't be."

In early December, unelected Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti (former EU official installed by Goldman Sachs, known to some as "three-card Monte") introduced his own austerity package.

To service Italy's $1.6 trillion debt, it includes attacking its social security pension system. In retirement, families depend on it. Nonetheless, retirement age eligibility will be raised to 66 from 58 by 2018, inflation-adjusted increases will end, and to qualify fully, workers must contribute from wages for 42 years.

In addition, value-added taxes will increase by 2%, and firing workers will be easier than ever. As in Greece, more cuts are planned, targeting workers to benefit bankers, other corporate favorites, and Italy's super-rich.

Portugal's new austerity cuts will see take-home pay down 27% since 2010. Its 2012 budget reduces spending by 4.4% of GDP by cutting healthcare and other benefits.

It also raises value added and other taxes, extends working days by 30 minutes with no added pay, and eliminates bonuses equal to two months earnings.

These measures follow earlier ones. They included cutting public sector wages 10%, eliminating four holidays, slashing overtime pay 50%, reducing pay for shift work, imposing "time banks" for greater employer flexibility over when employees must work, making firings simpler and cheaper, imposing shorter fixed-term contracts, ending rest breaks, and lowering unemployment benefits.

A Final Comment

Financial tyranny runs America and Europe. As a result, public anger grows.

Can revolutionary sparks be far behind? Expect pain levels eventually to cross thresholds of no return. Anything after that is possible, good or bad.

Hopefully a better world will emerge, free from banker occupation. It’s our only chance!

www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=28235

Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago and can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net.

Also visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com and listen to cutting-edge discussions with distinguished guests on the Progressive Radio News Hour on the Progressive Radio Network Thursdays at 10AM US Central time and Saturdays and Sundays at noon. All programs are archived for easy listening.

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http://beforeitsnews.com/story/1516/785/Bankers_Rule_The_World:_The_Network_Of_Global_Corporate_Control.html?currentSplittedPage=0

(有片)Celente警告，2012年經濟崩潰，銀行關閉，混亂，隨之而來，軍方將接管

2011年12月17日 13:23:48

  Mac Slavo
December 16th, 2011
SHTFplan.com

If you’ve followed trend forecaster Gerald Celente for any period of time you’ve probably realized he knows what he’s talking about. For the better part of two decades Celente and his Trends Journal have been forecasting political, financial, economic and social trends with an uncanny ability for accuracy.

In his latest interview Celente discusses a variety of different topics – from Iran and Europe to domestic militarization and the economy – and warns that our worst fears will soon be realized.
Bottom line? You ain’t seen nothin’ yet:

Gerald Celente on Jeff Rense Radio:
This passed (National Defense Authorization Act) the Senate by 93-7. I’m mentioning this because all the pieces are in place now.
The economy is going to crash. There is going to be chaos. Economic martial law will be called. Banks will close. And, chaos will ensure.
The law is now in place for the military to come in and take over. Fascism has come to America.
And if anyone thinks that I’m over blowing this, you may recall, for those of you who have been listening to Jeff Rense for the years that I’ve been on, that when Obama got elected I said there was a high probability, in 2009, of a bank holiday because of the disastrous economic conditions.
…
I came across a video that’s on Youtube… June of 2009… Corzine is running for re-election for Governor of New Jersey… and there’s Joe Biden… he’s campaigning for Corzine… He’s telling the audience, you know, ‘the day that we were sworn into office, the top of our agenda, the top of our list, was whether or not to call a bank holiday.’
…The point that I want to make is, and I want to drive this home, it should be headline news – the Obama administration was prepared to call a bank holiday in 2009. Economic conditions are much worse now.

Interview:

In an interview with Lew Rockwell on November 30, Celente provided a timeline for events, suggesting that things may start heating up as soon as the first quarter of 2012.
MORE HERE
http://beforeitsnews.com/story/1519/121/Celente_Warns_Of_2012:_Economy_Will_Crash,_Banks_Will_Close,_Chaos_Will_Ensue,_Military_Will_Take_Over.html

CNN警告︰美國開發大量新武器 改變戰爭形態(圖)

美國有線電視新聞網（CNN）15日報導，美國「國防先進研究計劃署」（DARPA）自制或與民間業者合作研發的未來型武器，具有驚人的革命性創新，勢將改變未來戰爭型態。

DARPA與波音公司共同開發中的「太陽鷹」（Solar Eagle）無人航空器，號稱起飛後可在空中執行集情報與監控任務長達5年。這種飛機機翼長120公尺，因利用太陽能因此不需降落補充燃料，可如人造衛星 般飛行于1萬8000公尺的高空，預計2014年實施首次試驗飛行。

DARPA另1種與波音公司共同開發的航空器「Disc-Rotor」，結合直升機和飛機優點，可像直升機般利用螺旋槳迅速地垂直升降，長距離飛行時也可利用機翼下的引擎如飛機般飛行，加裝武器的話更可搖身一變成為先進戰斗機。

而麻省理工學院與「佛羅里達人類和機械認知機構」共同開發中的「Fast Runner」預計明年會亮相。士兵穿戴此種裝備，可用約時速32公里奔跑。

DARPA也正在研發可自行改變體型以通過狹窄區域的柔軟材質機器人，以及在超過攝氏2000度高溫下也可飛行的航空器等。
http://news.backchina.com/viewnews-172718-big5.html

伊朗專家解密俘獲美無人機過程︰重設其GPS坐標(文/有片)

環球網記者仲偉東報道，伊朗日前宣布俘獲了一架美國RQ-170“哨兵”無人機，隨即美國總統奧巴馬索要無人機未果，反而在美伊兩國間引發“口水戰”。美 國《基督教科學箴言報》日前對一名參與俘獲這架無人機的伊朗團隊的工程師進行了專訪，這名工程師透露，伊朗是通過利用美軍導航系統長久以來存在缺陷，將這 架無人機“指引”至伊朗領土。


報道稱，目前伊朗多個軍方和民間團隊正在破解這架“哨兵”無人機的隱形和情報機密，這位工程師所在的團隊就是其中之一。這位工程師由于安全問題不願意透露姓名，但指出伊朗的電子戰專家有能力切斷美國無人機與指揮部之間的聯系。

根據其介紹，伊朗專家利用從以前“降落的”美國無人機上獲取的知識和技術，重新設定這架“哨兵”的GPS坐標並讓它在伊朗境內著陸。而這架“哨兵”根據程序會認為降落地點位于阿富汗總部。

“GPS導航是最薄弱之處，”這名工程師描述伊朗如何通過“電子埋伏”俘獲這架無人機時說道，“通過噪音干擾其通訊，這只鳥兒(無人機)被迫轉為自動 駕駛。這就相當于鳥兒失去了大腦。”伊朗通過所掌握的技術，讓這架無人機“降落在我們想讓它降落的地方，同時無需切斷與美軍指揮部之間的遠程信號聯系和通 信”。
http://news.backchina.com/viewnews-172658-big5.html

俄羅斯航母現身默里灣 為20年來最為接近英國的一次(圖)

2011/12/15  消息來源︰文匯報

俄羅斯航空母艦“庫茲涅佐夫號”編隊，當地時間周一(12日)突然出現在英國甦格蘭東部默里灣以外30里，這是20年來首次有俄國戰艦如此接近英國水域。

據悉，英海軍隨即派出驅逐艦“約克號”前往監視。早前有報道指該航母正前往地中海演習，懷疑此次是因為途經北海遭遇惡劣天氣而接近英國。

俄羅斯航母編隊于本月6日前往大西洋和地中海巡航。本次巡航的俄羅斯航母編隊由“庫茲涅佐夫”號航母、“恰巴年科”號大型反潛艦、1艘拖船和3艘油船 組成。總指揮波波夫表示，巡航將持續幾個月，在北大西洋和地中海演練協同作戰能力，並同波羅的海艦隊、黑海艦隊以及西方盟友海軍進行聯合演習。

“庫茲涅佐夫”號航母此次搭載甦-33戰斗機、甦-25強擊機和卡-27反潛直升機出海。“庫茲涅佐夫”號是俄羅斯唯一一艘現役航母，排水量6萬噸，裝備反艦導彈、防空導彈和火炮等武器，可搭載26架艦載機和24架反潛直升機。

本次巡航期間，俄羅斯航母編隊將訪問敘利亞港口，因此外界猜測俄羅斯是在向西方可能武裝干預敘利亞表示抗議和示威。但俄羅斯軍方人士再次表態稱，航母編隊訪問敘利亞港口只是補充給養，此外並無任務。俄羅斯總參謀長馬卡羅夫也表示，不會向敘利亞派遣軍事力量。
http://news.backchina.com/viewnews-172424-big5.html

揭秘:伊朗導彈實力還剩多少？(圖)

2011/12/14  消息來源︰國際在線

伊朗導彈試驗廠的衛星圖片

隨著伊朗在與英國的外交糾紛中放低姿態，上月發生的伊朗導彈爆炸事件重新成了西方輿論品讀的話題。有人認為，內賈德政府“變軟”的重要原因之一就是那 次爆炸癱瘓了伊朗的導彈工業，使其失去了與西方叫板的“牙齒”。《紐約時報》12月4日報道稱，美國科學和國際安全研究所提供的伊朗11月12 日導彈爆炸前後當地的衛星照片對比顯示，這座位于沙漠中的伊朗固體燃料導彈試驗中心在爆炸中實際上已被完全摧毀。美國等西方國家和以色列的軍方官員及導彈 技術專家們也據此認為，伊朗遠程彈道導彈發展計劃已遭到重創。

擁有中東最大導彈庫

伊朗導彈計劃基本起步于上世紀70年代末伊朗伊斯蘭革命後。兩伊戰爭爆發後，在戰爭初期吃盡伊拉克火箭彈和彈道導彈苦頭的伊朗，開始與伊拉克展開導彈軍備競賽。近30年來，包括彈道導彈在內的各種導彈一直是伊朗軍工發展的重中之重。

據西方媒體報道，目前伊朗擁有中東地區最強大的導彈庫，現役彈道導彈總數約1500多枚，已具備中遠程打擊能力。其中采用液態燃料的“流星 -3”導彈最具代表性。據稱該型彈研發工作始于1993年，2003年正式裝備伊斯蘭革命衛隊。有資料顯示，“流星-3”長16米，最大發射重量16噸， 最大推力13噸，有效載荷1200公斤，可攜帶重量為760至1158公斤的戰斗部，射程超過2000公里。

不過，伊朗並沒有就此止步。據報道，近10多年來伊朗開始重點發展中遠程彈道導彈，並先後發展出“沙哈伯”系列導彈。其中，“沙哈伯”-4/5/6型 更是采用了固體燃料發動機。值得一提的是，有西方媒體報道說，沙哈伯-5射程可達3500至3750公里，而且可以攜帶750至 1000公斤的彈頭，而沙哈伯-6射程預計可達5470至6200公里之間，攜帶彈頭重量可達500至1000公斤。

可能正在技術攻堅

從上面的數據可以看出，西方報道關于伊朗導彈的射程、彈頭重量等參數，大都是揣測，後者的真實性能並不為外界所知。

有軍事專家指出，西方媒體的報道明顯帶有夸大的成份，實際上，伊朗多年來一直受到西方國家制裁，很難進口先進的導彈技術，雖然有媒體指稱伊朗導彈發展 得到了朝鮮的幫助，但眾所周知，朝鮮的導彈技術本身就很落後，不可能給伊朗提供很大的支持。至于伊朗國內媒體的渲染報道，可能也只是出于向西方叫板的宣傳 目的。當然，從此次爆炸破壞程度的衛星照片看，伊朗正在研發測試的這款導彈可能具有較大威力，不能排除是一枚采用固體燃料的中遠程彈道導彈的可能性。

倫敦國際戰略研究所近日發表的一份報告稱，固體燃料發動機已經成為伊朗導彈開發項目的“轉折點”，這項技術對伊朗來說具有深遠的戰略意義，因為它將幫助伊朗接近打造遠程導彈的目標。

也正是基于這個原因，一些西方國家和不少防務專家認為，此次導彈爆炸對伊朗來說，是一次重大打擊︰一方面試驗基地被完全摧毀；另一方面包括伊朗導彈項 目領導人、有“伊朗導彈之父”之稱的穆加達姆將軍在內的一系列導彈專家在爆炸中喪生，讓伊朗在短期內很難恢復其導彈研發能力。

不過，也有分析認為，伊朗一向視導彈為其抗衡美以的主要殺手　，一次爆炸是否能夠奪去伊朗整個導彈發展體系的根本，現在還難以早下結論。

美以發起“超限戰”？

雖然伊朗導彈爆炸事件已過去近4周時間，但圍繞導彈爆炸原因的種種說法依然鋪天蓋地。《紐約時報》報道說，到目前為還不清楚爆炸的原因，不過有美國專家推測說，爆炸可能是由伊朗缺乏制造和使用固體燃料導彈的經驗造成的。有伊朗官員則認為，爆炸可能緣于蓄意破壞。

就在《紐約時報》報道說到目前為止還沒有任何證據支撐“蓄意破壞”說之際，美國《洛杉磯時報》12月4日援引華盛頓近東政策研究所“伊朗安全計劃”負 責人帕特里克‧克勞森的話報道稱，此次爆炸是美國、以色列等國反對伊朗核計劃行動的一部分，是一場“超限戰”，目的是讓伊朗核武器計劃偏離軌道。中央情報 局前特工阿特‧凱勒也對該報說︰“這應該是中情局反核擴散部門的手法，目的是延緩伊朗大規模殺傷性武器研制計劃。”該報同時引用一些西方分析師的結論舉例 說，早在去年，美國和以色列就通過網絡向伊朗互聯網終端和核電站員工個人電腦秘密植入“震網”蠕蟲病毒，並一度導致布什爾核電站濃縮鈾離心機失靈。

有軍事專家指出，通過植入電腦病毒來破壞伊朗的核設施及導彈項目的可能性並非沒有，“超限戰”作戰樣式的最大優勢在于，不僅能做到殺人不見血，而且可實現“零傷亡”。
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美國防部︰中國2013年崩潰 美派最龐大艦隊包圍(圖)

資料圖︰抵達日本基地的美國海軍華盛頓號核動力航母。

據美國《基督教科學箴言報》7日報道，美國國防部日前對“噩夢級”安全局勢展開假想，特別針對三個形勢可能完全失控的區域展開假想分析，“台灣遭人民解放軍封鎖”成為其中之一。

報道稱，美國國防部將這一情景設定在2013年發生。屆時，中國大陸將爆發一系列危機，經濟驟然減速，民眾不滿情緒上升。同時，由于男女比例失調，找 不到老婆的年輕男性越來越多，也成為加劇國內不穩定的因素。在此情況下，大陸“會想辦法把內部矛盾轉向外部，從而做出封鎖台灣的決定”。與此同時，美國的 主要精力一直放在同激進的伊斯蘭國家和集團作戰上，“並且因為從對華貿易中獲益，因此對中國軍事機器的發展沒能給予足夠重視”。

該假想認為，為封鎖台灣，大陸將對美國發動網絡戰，通過各種病毒、蠕蟲、特洛伊木馬，動用各種網絡戰武器對美國信息網絡、特別是美軍方計算機網絡發動 進攻。同時，大陸還積極發展潛艇技術，用潛艇切斷為美軍軍用和民用設施提供數據支持的海底光纜。中國大陸甚至有可能對美國網絡系統采取“兩連擊” ———一邊滲透進五角大樓的軍用網絡，一邊對紐約股票交易市場發起攻擊，導致股市停盤兩天。

面對“解放軍封鎖台灣以及網絡戰”的態勢，五角大樓的最初反應將是美國和盟友共同派出“有史以來最龐大的海軍艦隊，成環狀在中國外海幾百海里處形成包 圍態勢”。美國防部同時假想，日本會考慮對中國的港口實施報復性打擊，以作為“反封鎖”策略。不過，美日領導人“必須認真考慮包圍中國東海岸之後到底該怎 麼辦，因為這很可能會引發一場新的世界大戰”。

除台海危局之外，五角大樓還設想了其他兩個“噩夢”。一是朝鮮因領導人交接班問題引發政權崩潰，成千上萬朝鮮饑民越過三八線進入韓國。屆時中國可能派 兵提供“人道主義支持”，與美國和韓國部隊對峙，進而可能引發第二次朝鮮戰爭，甚至演化為核武大戰。二是假想巴基斯坦總統于2013年遇刺身亡，軍隊中的 伊斯蘭強硬派要趁亂奪權，把巴基斯坦變成激進的伊斯蘭國家。該假想認為，“更危險的是，巴基斯坦國內有80到120枚核彈，很可能對美國發起進攻”。
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美學者︰美國應阻止強大中國對他國進行恐嚇(圖)

2011/12/13  消息來源︰環球時報

資料圖︰中國殲15艦載機

日本《讀賣新聞》12月4日文章 題︰美國外交重心向亞洲轉移

約 40年前，我進入牛津大學研究生院學習。我告訴校方自己對中東頗感興趣，校方便推薦了一位“東方研究科”的教授，因為“東方研究科”涵蓋中東地區。然而， 當我第一次拜訪這位教授的研究室時，卻發現書架上擺滿了中文書籍。至少對當時的筆者來說，這是一位“錯誤的東方”的專家。

其實，美國的外交政策也有過類似的失敗經歷。那就是美國過去只關注中東地區，對有望在21世紀起到舉足輕重作用的東亞和太平洋地區卻未予以適當的關注。簡言之，過去，美國眼中只有那個“錯誤的東方”。

姍姍來遲的變化

不過所幸美國的關注點逐漸轉移。實際上，美國外交政策的面貌正悄然發生著意義深遠的變化，盡管這種變化姍姍來遲。是的，這就是“重新發現”亞洲。我找不出更恰當的措辭來形容這種變化。

亞洲是二戰的最大戰場之一。冷戰時代，亞洲和西歐一起扮演了核心角色。冷戰時代的兩場大戰，朝鮮戰爭和越南戰爭，也是在亞洲大陸上演的。

然而，隨著冷戰落幕和甦聯解體，美國對亞洲的關注度日漸式微。冷戰後頭10年，美國將主要關切集中在歐洲地區。美國的決策者們將注意力放在擴充北約，吸納多個原華約成員國上，並致力于前南斯拉夫地區的內戰。

“後冷戰時代”的第二個階段肇始于9‧11事件。在此後10年，美國專注于反恐，對伊拉克和阿富汗進行了大規模軍事介入。這兩場戰爭奪去了6000多名美國人的性命，耗資超過1萬億美元。美國的麗位總統及其謀士為此殫精竭慮。

如今，美國外交政策的這種局面也接近尾聲。奧巴馬總統宣布今年年內從伊拉克撤軍。阿富汗的美軍兵力也開始減少。接下來，美國只要解決兩個問題︰撤退的速度以及2014年以後駐阿美軍的規模和作用。

不過，筆者既不想宣稱中東已經不再重要，也不想呼吁美國要無視中東。情況恰恰相反。中東地區儲藏著大量油氣資源，且一直是恐怖活動頻發、紛爭司空見慣 的地區。伊朗正準備研制核武器，一旦得逞，其他國家勢必效仿。而且，中東各國正經歷一種似乎將改寫歷史的政治大變革。此外，美國身上有一條聯系以色列的特 殊紐帶。

盡管如此，人們還是認為，相比過去，美國可以減少在整個中東地區的活動。一方面，中東的“基地”組織趨于衰弱，地區和平之路前景暗淡。最關鍵的一點， 也是‧個不容辯駁的事實，不論從何種角度看，美國做出的巨大努力並未帶來和投入相稱的成果。另一方面，亞太地區存在值得美國加強干預力度的理由。

亞太世紀的到來

亞太地區人口眾多，經濟高速發展，其在經濟上的重要性再怎麼強調也不過分。美國公司對亞太地區的商品和服務出口額每年達3000億美元以上。而且，亞太各國已成掌握美國經濟命脈的投資的源泉。因此可以說，美國和全球經濟要取得成功，就要維持該地區的穩定。

美國肩負著對日本、韓國、菲律賓和泰國等諸多盟國的責任，其中就包括遏制朝鮮的攻擊。此外，美國要運用各項政策營造出一種不讓崛起的中國將其與日俱增的實力用于在地區內外恐嚇他國的環境。由此看來，美國近來加強與印度及幾個東南亞國家關系的努力就合乎邏輯。

美國將政策重點從中東移至遠東是正確之舉。所幸在美國國內，這個結論看上去已成一種跨黨派的廣泛共識。有望成為共和黨總統候選人的米特‧羅姆尼承諾， 他當選後將增造艦艇，以加強美國在太平洋的地位。希拉里國務卿表示，全球的戰略和經濟重心逐漸東移，美國正更加密切地關注亞太地區。她並不掩飾美國逐漸把 重心移出中東的做法。

不論21世紀是否成為“美國世紀”，有一個事實確鑿無疑。那就是21世紀將成為“亞太世紀”。可以說，不論這個“亞太世紀”以何種形式演變，美國在這個過程中扮演核心角色是一件順其自然且具有深遠意義的事。

作者︰理查德‧哈斯 美國外交學會會長
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